US midterm election latest predictions: Democrats’ tipped to sweep Congress as first results announced

The Independent - Nov 4, 2026

Over $1.6 billion worth of bets have been placed this year according to one prediction platform

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Democrats’ chances of sweeping both the House and Senate – and dealing a major blow to President Donald Trump – rose Tuesday afternoon, according to prediction markets

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US ⁠President Donald Trump said on ⁠Tuesday the United States was close to making a trade deal with Canada, but Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said work remained to be done ‌and that Washington had dropped some demands. “Canada is very good, we’re going to make a deal with Canada very soon. We’re going to make a great deal,” Trump said in an interview with Fox News. Canada and ⁠the US have slapped billions of dollars in tariffs ‌on each other in recent months. The imposition of tariffs on...

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